Gilder and Moore – Impact on the Future of Computing

The principles of both Gilder and Moore are important phenomena that must be considered juxtaposed to Grid Computing infrastructure in new e-Science research. Moore’s Law predicts doubling silicon density every 18 months. In early 2000, a common misconception held that traffic was doubling every three months. Andrew Odlyzko and Kerry Coffman showed that this was not the case. He demonstrated that traffic has been approximately doubling every 12 months since 1997 based on progress in optical bandwidth. Gilder’s Law predicts that the total capacity of optical transport systems doubles every six months. New developments seem to confirm that optical transport bandwidth availability doubles every nine months.

Expert consaltations telecommunicaions, software, patents and Internet technologies

Tal Lavian, Ph.D.

Data-Communications, Internet, Networking, Telecommunications, Patents.

Litigation Support, Expert Consultant

Http://innovations-IP.com

Http://cs.Berkeley.edu/~tlavian

Scientist, inventor and educator in the areas of computer science and electrical engineering related to communications and Internet technologies. Over 20 years of experience, including Principal Investigator for DARPA and visiting scientist at UC Berkeley’s RAD Lab.

Litigation support, expert consulting and technology simplification

Technology consulting: Data networking, telecommunications, Internet, Web, network protocols, TCP/IP, VoIP, cell, mobile and wireless.

Patent consulting: Infringement analysis, validation/invalidation analysis, prior art search and review. Prior art in publications and Ph.D. dissertations to support validity and obviousness.

Prolific inventor and technologist. Key advisor for hundreds of invention: over 50 patents issued and pending, and co-authored over 25 peer-reviewed publications.

CET Faculty, Industry Fellow and Lecturer – UC Berkeley College of Engineering.